Harvest Risk

Built for Rural & Agriculture · Farm economy, land and disaster recovery

A live ag-risk monitor — drought, pests, prices, and input costs roll into a risk score per crop with an 'act now' flag.

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Suwannee Valley · Boll fill

Cotton

~3,400 ac tracked

● Act now

57%

risk

Combined risk · move on this first

Act now — top driver is input-cost squeeze

Combined risk is high and input-cost squeeze is the heaviest factor — move on it first this season.

Recommended first move: Pre-buy fertilizer and diesel while priced, or shift toward lower-input practices (variable-rate, cover, reduced passes) to protect margin.

Indicator readings (0–100, higher = more risk)

Drought / soil moisture50

drying, watch

Pest & disease pressure50

building pressure · stink bug + plant bug

Price weakness vs. break-even46

soft, thin margin

Input-cost squeeze · driver92

costs squeezing margin hard

Where the score comes from

Input cost · driver92 × 20% = 18

Drought50 × 35% = 18

Price46 × 25% = 12

Pest50 × 20% = 10

Σ combined score57 / 100

If you act on a factor — what it does

Input cost

Pre-buy fertilizer and diesel while priced, or shift toward lower-input practices (variable-rate, cover, reduced passes) to protect margin.

Drought

Line up irrigation windows and confirm water-district allocations before the next dry stretch; prioritize the most moisture-sensitive growth stage.

Price

Lock in forward contracts or basis while bids hold, and revisit your crop-insurance price election before the deadline.

Pest

Scout fields this week and pre-position approved treatments ahead of the pressure curve; rotate modes of action to slow resistance.

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Showcase demo for the Born Between 2 Generals summit. Showcase · best home: Nonprofit / constituent service. Seeded with realistic sample data; runs payment-dark (no billing). Not a production system.