Harvest Risk

Built for Rural & Agriculture · Farm economy, land and disaster recovery

A live ag-risk monitor — drought, pests, prices, and input costs roll into a risk score per crop with an 'act now' flag.

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Marion / Alachua Co. · Tasseling — peak water demand

Field Corn

~4,200 ac tracked

● Act now

62%

risk

Combined risk · move on this first

Act now — top driver is drought / soil moisture

Combined risk is high and drought / soil moisture is the heaviest factor — move on it first this season.

Recommended first move: Line up irrigation windows and confirm water-district allocations before the next dry stretch; prioritize the most moisture-sensitive growth stage.

Indicator readings (0–100, higher = more risk)

Drought / soil moisture · driver80

severe deficit

Pest & disease pressure38

light pressure · fall armyworm flights rising

Price weakness vs. break-even55

soft, thin margin

Input-cost squeeze62

costs elevated

Where the score comes from

Drought · driver80 × 35% = 28

Price55 × 25% = 14

Input cost62 × 20% = 12

Pest38 × 20% = 8

Σ combined score62 / 100

If you act on a factor — what it does

Drought

Line up irrigation windows and confirm water-district allocations before the next dry stretch; prioritize the most moisture-sensitive growth stage.

Price

Lock in forward contracts or basis while bids hold, and revisit your crop-insurance price election before the deadline.

Input cost

Pre-buy fertilizer and diesel while priced, or shift toward lower-input practices (variable-rate, cover, reduced passes) to protect margin.

Pest

Scout fields this week and pre-position approved treatments ahead of the pressure curve; rotate modes of action to slow resistance.

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